2020 - Round 19 (Week 1 of the Finals)
/To me, it’s slightly amazing that we’ve got here, but we are now on the brink of the Finals series and, though they’re still a week away, I’ve chosen to lock-in the MoS models today.
Read MoreTo me, it’s slightly amazing that we’ve got here, but we are now on the brink of the Finals series and, though they’re still a week away, I’ve chosen to lock-in the MoS models today.
Read MoreJust 0.9 Scoring Shots and two points separate 1st from 4th on the two MoS Team Rating Leaderboards as we enter the Finals, and only just over six Scoring Shots and just under 20 points separates the highest from the lowest-rated finalist.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg tipped the card this week, and with just nine games to play to complete the season, will be very hard to catch on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard, which it still leads by three tips from MoSHBODS_Marg.
The all-Tipster average for the week came in at 7.8 from 9, with only Home Sweet Home bagging fewer than eight correct tips.
Read Moret’s not exactly a secret (if you’ve been following the narrative) that the MoS twins don’t care much, relatively speaking, for the Eagles, so it’s not entirely surprising that MoSHPlay might only have them defeating the Roos by only just over 3 goals.
Read MoreWe’ve been spoiled with a full board of Totals markets, the details of which appear below.
With a few exceptions, the Total forecasts of the MoS twins align with those of the bookmakers (who are of one voice this week, perhaps because the TAB and Sportsbet are taking their cues from the same place).
Read MoreThis season, for lots of reasons, has felt like a very long one, but we have at last come to the final home-and-away round (as silly as that descriptor for the weekly games continues to be this year).
Only three games this week are expected to be decided by less than 2 goals, and only two more by less than 3 goals, in what might otherwise be seen as a not particularly entertaining round were it not for the impact that most games can potentially have on the makeup and ordering of the finalists.
Read MoreIt’s very tight at the top of the MoSSBODS Leaderboard now, with the Top 3 separated by just 0.2 Scoring Shots, and the Top 6 by 2.2 Scoring Shots. Richmond now heads that Leaderboard after climbing three places in Round 17 and deposing Geelong.
Things were a little more stable on MoSHBODS, with Geelong and Richmond maintaining 1st and 2nd place respectively, although Port Adelaide did sneak into 3rd place.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg tipped the winner in 6 of the 9 contests this week, which was enough to extend its lead on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard to three tips over Bookie Knows Best, RSMP_Simple, and, now, MoSHBODS_Marg.
Read MoreMoSHPlay has the Tigers by 2 for the Friday game.
Read MoreThree more Totals markets have now been posted. They appear below.
Read MoreThe remainder of the head-to-head and line markets have now been posted, so we have a full set of forecasts.
Read MoreOnly two of the nine markets are up at the bookmakers’ so far. Here’s how they compare to the MoS twins’ opinions.
Read MoreThere are nine games in the upcoming round, but only five for which markets are currently available - the first four games, which will be our focus in this blog, and the Hawks v Dogs game on Sunday.
Read MoreThere was no change amongst the Top 6 teams on either MoS Team Rating System this week, which left Geelong atop them both, and with the Lions and Power in 2nd and 3rd on MoSSBODS, and the Tigers and Lions in 2nd and 3rd on MoSHBODS.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg tipped the winner in 6 of the 8 contests this week, which was an equal-best top score and enough to see its lead on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard extended to two tips over Bookie Knows Best and RSMP_Simple.
The all-Tipster average came in at 5.4 from 8 as all Tipsters recorded a score of 5 or 6.
Read MoreAll but one of the Totals markets have now been posted. They appear below.
There are no additional wagers.
The Lions v Suns markets are now up, and Investors have a final overs wager.
Head-to-head and line markets are now up for the last game of the round, so we now have a full set of tips.
Read MoreMoSHPlay is forecasting the Power by 32 in the Saturday game.
Read MoreOnly four of the eight markets are up at the bookmakers’ so far. Here’s how they compare to the MoS twins’ opinions.
Read MoreWe have eight games in the upcoming round, for seven of which the bookmakers have already framed markets.
Let’s see what the MoS models make of those seven.
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