2020 - Round 11 : Tips and Wagers Update
/With markets now available for all of the games, we’re able to finalise the round’s tips and wagers for everyone except MoSHPlay.
Read MoreWith markets now available for all of the games, we’re able to finalise the round’s tips and wagers for everyone except MoSHPlay.
Read MoreWhen Ratings are compressed, it doesn’t take much to see teams move multiple places, and this week saw There’s major upheaval again at the top of the MoS Team Ratings, with Richmond now holding 1st on both Systems, ahead of Collingwood and Port Adelaide on MoSSBODS, and ahead of Port Adelaide and Geelong on MoSHBODS.
Read MoreJust six of the eight games have Totals markets at this point, and these are shown below.
Read MoreIf this end a round on one day and start the next on the following day becomes a thing in the future, I’m going to need to seriously reconsider running this blog …
So far, markets have only been framed for 7 of the 8 eight games, so those are the only 7 we’ll consider here. I’ll update in a separate blog, once the final markets are framed.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg bagged 6 from 9 this week, which was enough to see it remain atop the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard by two tips, now ahead of Bookie Knows Best, MoSSBODS_Marg, and RSMP_Simple (who tipped the card).
Read MoreWith all but one of the Totals markets now posted, MoSSBODS has no interest in any further wagers.
The Totals market for the final game of the round is now up and, while it looks very low according to the MoS twins. forecast rain means that we’ll not be taking the opportunity for an overs bet.
So, MoSHPlay is thinking Lions by 10.
Read MoreWith markets posted for only two of the seven games so far, this will be a relatively brief blog entry, with updates to come.
Read MoreYes, it’s me, back again. I didn’t create this fixturing …
In this round’s business-days only fare, which ends on Friday, the bookmakers have six of the seven games finishing with a double-digit margin and only the Tigers v Lions game expected to be closer than that.
Read MoreWhen Ratings are compressed, it doesn’t take much to see teams move multiple places, and this week saw MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS move eight teams by 2 spots or more.
That included their previous Number 1s, Collingwood, who now find themselves in 4th.
Port Adelaide returned to the top on both Systems, now ahead of Richmond and Brisbane Lions.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg bagged 7 from 9 this week to take it two tips clear of Bookie Knows Best and MoSSBODS_Marg on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard.
The all-Tipster average for the round was 5.9 from 9, dragged down again by Home Sweet Home and Consult The Ladder.
Read MoreMoSHPlay, on seeing the team announcements, has forecast a Dogs’ win by 5 points.
Read MoreA little more divergence of opinion this week between the MoS twins and the bookmakers, with a number of games where the difference exceeds one goal.
Read MoreIt feels like only yesterday …
Read MoreCollingwood, despite going down to West Coast, did enough in generating 15 Scoring Shots to the Eagles’ 21 to remain atop the rankings on both Systems, albeit by on 0.1 Scoring Shots on MoSSBODS, and 1.1 points on MoSHBODS.
The Pies are followed by the Lions and the Power on both Systems, in that order by MoSSBODS, and in the reverse order by MoSHBODS.
Read MoreMoSHPlay_Marg bagged 6 from 9 this week, which was enough to see it grab top spot on the Head-to-Head Tipster’s Leaderboard by one tip ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg. That table is fairly compressed now, though, with just four tips separating 1st from 7th.
Read MoreMoSHPlay has it as the Dogs by just under two goals for tomorrow night’s game against the Suns.
Read MoreEven higher levels of agreement this week between the MoS twins and the bookmakers sees only two games where the differences in opinion about likely game totals exceed one goal.
Read MoreAnother set of nine games this week where the bookmakers expect the final winning margin to be three goals or smaller. In seven of those games they expect to be within two goals, which has resulted in an average expected margin of just 9.4 points per game.
Read MoreAfter MoSSBODS switched 1st and 2nd this week, both MoS Systems now agree that the Top 3 teams are, in order, Collingwood, Port Adelaide, and Brisbane Lions.
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