2020 - Round 9 : Overs/Unders

A little more divergence of opinion this week between the MoS twins and the bookmakers, with a number of games where the difference exceeds one goal.

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Overall, though, all four forecasters are estimating a per game Total of around 122 to 123 points.

Overall, we have:

• HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Dons v Lions

  • TAB: Saints v Swans

  • Easybet: Suns v Giants

• LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • All: Dockers v Pies

  HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Lions

  • Easybet and TAB: Saints

  LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Dockers

WAGERS

Greater divergence of opinion brings greater opportunity for wagers, and this week, with the forecasts good for Carrara, that means six wagers in total including two overs bets.

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The estimated overlays range from just under 7 points to just over 14 points.

In Round 8, Easybet continued its recent excellent form and took three of the four Mean Absolute Error (MAE) honours (Home Team Scores, Away Team Scores, and Game Totals), while the TAB produced lowest MAE for Game Margins.

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MoSSBODS now has the season-long MAE lead for Game Margins and Home Team Scores, while Easybet leads for Away Scores and Game Totals.

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In the lone game on which we had a wager in Round 8, MoSSBODS went 0 and 1 against Easybet, leaving it with a season-long 71% success rate against the TAB, and a 47% rate against Easybet.

Across all games, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS are now 35 from 71 (49%) against the TAB, and 36 from 71 (51%) against Easybet.