AFLW 2022 Spring Edition - Round 13 (Finals Week 3)
/Below are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for the third week of the AFLW Finals.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for the third week of the AFLW Finals.
Read MoreWoSHBODS tipped both winners this week, one by too little and one by too much, perhaps suggesting that its approach to Venue Performance Values isn’t too outrageous. It finished with a Margin MAE of 15.8 points per game, a Totals MAE of 41.9 points per game (thanks largely to the Roos’ 74 point haul), and yet another positive log probability score, its seventh in succession for a full round.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for the second week of the AFLW Finals, which again include some margin-expanding Venue Performance Values. Interestingly, it finds the Punt Road venue enhances rather than diminishes the Roos’ chances.
Read MoreWoSHBODS was definitely too heavy-handed with Venue Performance Values (VPV) this week, ending up with a Margin MAE of 25.4 points per game as a result, but it did tip all four winners and, such was its confidence, also returned a highly positive log probability score. Its Totals MAE was a very respectable 12.5 points per game, although the VPV values used meant the Away Team Score forecasts were relatively poor.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for the first week of the AFLW Finals.
Read MoreAnother pretty good week for WoSHBODS, with a Margin MAE just above the season average at 19.6 points per game, a Totals MAE of 21.4 points per game, a fifth consecutive positive LPS, and a 7.5 from 9 result on accuracy, all of which has led to the table below.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 10 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreAnother solid week for WoSHBODS, with season second-bests for Margin MAE (14.3 points per game), Totals MAE (9.7 points per game), and LPS, and a 7 from 9 result on accuracy, all of which has led to the table below.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 9 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreA very good week for WoSHBODS, with a season low Margin MAE of 13.0 points per game, a Totals MAE of 15.3 points per game, a season high LPS, and the first 9 from 9 result on accuracy, all of which has led to the table below.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 8 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreAnother fairly good week from WoSHBODS, with a Margin MAE of 18.8 points per game, a Totals MAE of 12.1 points per game, a hugely positive LPS, and a 7 from 9 result on accuracy, all of which has led to the table below.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 7 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreMuch better this week from WoSHBODS, with a Margin MAE of 16.7 points per game, a Totals MAE of 17.6 points per game, a hugely positive LPS, and a 7 from 9 result on accuracy, all of which has led to the table below.
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 6 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreSome big numbers this week for WoSHBODS on Margin MAE (25.2 points per game) and Totals MAE (23.8 points per game), a highly negative LPS thanks mainly to the Tigers upset win over the Lions, but 7 from 9 on accuracy
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 5 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreA good round for WoSHBODS on Margin MAE (17.8 points per game) and Totals MAE (16.8 points per game), but just 3.5 from 9 on accuracy and a negative LPS
Read MoreBelow are WoSHBODS’ forecasts for Round 3 of the current AFLW season.
Read MoreAnother good round for WoSHBODS with a Margin MAE of 24 points per game, a Totals MAE of 22.5 points per game, a positive LPS, and a 7.5 from 9 performance on accuracy, which takes it to the cumulative result shown below.
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