AFLW 2022 Spring Edition - Round 12 - Results

WoSHBODS tipped both winners this week, one by too little and one by too much, perhaps suggesting that its approach to Venue Performance Values isn’t too outrageous. It finished with a Margin MAE of 15.8 points per game, a Totals MAE of 41.9 points per game (thanks largely to the Roos’ 74 point haul), and yet another positive log probability score, its seventh in succession for a full round.

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AFLW 2022 Spring Edition - Round 11 - Results

WoSHBODS was definitely too heavy-handed with Venue Performance Values (VPV) this week, ending up with a Margin MAE of 25.4 points per game as a result, but it did tip all four winners and, such was its confidence, also returned a highly positive log probability score. Its Totals MAE was a very respectable 12.5 points per game, although the VPV values used meant the Away Team Score forecasts were relatively poor.

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