AFLW 2022 Spring Edition - Round 4 - Results

A good round for WoSHBODS on Margin MAE (17.8 points per game) and Totals MAE (16.5 points per game), but just 3.5 from 9 on accuracy and a negative LPS, which takes it to the cumulative result shown below.

(NB This is a corrected version of the Performance table. The previous one used the wrong data in calculating Score MAEs. This version is consistent with the published week-to-week forecasts)

View fullsize

The Ranking on Team Metrics table appears below, and suggests that, so far, ladder position has been most about:

• Scoring Shot Generation and Concession

• Own and Opponent Scoring

• Q2 and Q4 Performances

• Winning Quarters

… and not much about:

• Own or Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion

• Q1 Performances

View fullsize

Lastly, here is the full Team Dashboard, which shows that:

• Carlton have scored almost half their points in Q1s

• Fremantle have scored only 11% of their points in Q4s

• Geelong have scored 81% of their points in the 2nd half

• Gold Coast have scored 65% of their points in the 2nd half

• Port Adelaide have scored 70% of their points in Q2s and Q3s

• Western Bulldogs have scored 64% of their points in Q2s and Q3s

• Richmond have scored 67% of their points in the 1st half

• Hawthorn have scored 66% of their points in the 1st half

• North Melbourne have scored 65% of their points in the 1st half

• Melbourne have scored 64% of their points in the 1st half

• West Coast have scored 44% of their points in Q4s

• Sydney and Hawthorn have won only 1 quarter all season

• Brisbane Lions have won 12 of 16 quarters

View fullsize