So, what to make of all that then?.

It’s clear already that MoSHPlay is going to add some welcome variability to the MoS forecasters this year.

MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS are always living in the past, since they take their cues from history and are blind to things like rule changes that might influence the patterns of scoring in the new season.

With the teams just announced for tomorrow night’s game, MoSHPlay has made its first ever pre-game forecasts, tipping the Tigers to win by 44 points, and assigning them about an 89% probability of victory.

It’s incredible just how rusty you become in running your code and cranking out tables after only six months away from the discipline …

With the benefit of four months’ or so reflection, it’s a bit easier to make a more rational assessment of the performances of the MoS menagerie of models in 2018.