2012 Round 10 : Wagers & Tips - Another Wait

I'm beginning to wonder if I should mentally plan to write up the week's wagers on Thursday rather than Wednesday nights, so regularly reticent has the TAB bookmaker become in posting markets on games involving GWS. This week, as well as making us wait for Line, Head-to-Head and SuperMargin markets for Saturday's Cats v Giants game, he's also bet-shy about Sunday's Pies v Suns game.

I'll save the full details for tomorrow night but for now just mention that we've already committed to one head-to-head, three line, and four margin wagers, and that I expect to add another line and two margin wagers once the markets come up.

2012 Round 9 : Wagers & Tips - A Drawn Conclusion

The GWS v Essendon line market finally went up late this evening (Thursday) with the Giants receiving 70.5 points start, 10 points fewer than I was expecting. Unfazed, the Line Fund algorithm felt that almost 12 goals start represented value and so added the Giants to its already-committed bevy of 5 wagers, making it 6 wagers in total, or 30% of its initial wealth, half on favourites and half on underdogs.
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A Giant Omission

I've locked in all the bets for Round 9 except one: a line bet on GWS. Assuming that they receive around the 80.5 points start I expect them to we'll be on them, but until they do and we are a full blog post will need to wait.

For now I'll just reveal that we've already placed 2 head-to-head wagers, 5 line bets and 4 SuperMargin wagers - including one particularly intriguing bet - covering 7 of the 9 games. 

More soon ...

2012 Round 8 : Wagers & Tips - It's Raining Buckets

Last season, whenever the head-to-head markets opened with a slew of Home team favourites, I feared we were in for a weekend of huge risk and minimal reward. This year, to prevent this, I implemented a minimum price constraint on head-to-head wagers, which has served to restrict the Head-to-Head Fund to just two wagers this week, one on the Pies at $1.70 and the other on the Bombers at $1.50.
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2012 Round 7 Interim Results

There's still a match to be played to complete Round 7 so I'll save the detailed review of the round for tomorrow night.

In the meantime, the headline result for Investors is that they're up by about 1.75c on the round, which leaves Overall Portfolios at around one-tenth of a cent under breakeven for the season. We've the Head-to-Head Fund to thank for the week's profit, its 2 from 2 performance lifting its price by almost 11c for the round and taking it to $1.063.

The Line Fund's 2 and 2 performance knocked 1 cent off its price leaving it at $0.91, while the Margin Fund's 0 and 2 record stripped 5c from its price, taking it to $1.125.

MAFLOnline Has a New Name ...

... actually, it's a pseudonym (a word that, prior to 25 years exposure to poor spelling on the web, I'd have confidently set down and then moved on without the need, as I have just now, to look it up in an online dictionary - which, now I think about it, I've assumed was correct ...).

I know from the weblogs that few of you come to the MAFL site via the tortuous method of clacking maflonline.squarespace.com into the address bar of your browser. Frankly, I probably wouldn't either were I not using Google Chrome which completes the remaining 25 characters for me as soon as I type the leading 'm'.

From today you need no longer remember that alphabet's worth of URL when you want to visit MAFL or refer a friend, colleague or random passerby to the site. (Look, traffic's traffic, and every writer wants an audience). Thanks to the commercially generous folk over at Squarespace, who are offering all their subscribers a free domain name, you can now reach the MAFL site via www.matterofstats.com.

For those of you who come to MAFL by other methods, including those who click on the links in the automatic e-mails they receive, nothing changes. The matterofstats link is a new and additional door to the site, and none of the old doors have been boarded up.

I like the MatterOfStats name and, in time, almost certainly in the off-season, I'll probably use it in rebranding and rejigging the current site. For at least the next 4 months though you'll see no other changes related to it.