2025 - Round 5 Results - Two Halves of Sunday
/Another seven of the early-week favourites got up this week, leading to all but ENS_Linear and Home Sweet Home registering that score on the Head-to-Head Tipsters Leaderboard. That left MoSHPlay still a tip clear of the field on 36 from 44 (82%).
The all-Tipster score came in at 6.4 from 9, which took the season-long all-Tipster performance to 31.8 from 44 (72%).
Margin prediction was a little more difficult this week, but least of all for Bookie_3, whose mean average error (MAE) of 25.8 points per game was almost a full 1 point per game better than next best, MoSSBODS_Marg’s 26.6 points per game, who nonetheless still sits in last place. The all-Predictor average was 28.4 points per game, which left the season-long average at 28.3 points per game.
MoSHPlay_Marg recorded the third-best score, just 0.02 points per game higher than MoSSBODS_Marg, and now heads the Leaderboard ahead of Bookie_3, with ENS_Linear still in third.
The round-by-round history of Margin Predictor rankings appears below.
Log probability scores were all positive again this week, with MoSSBODS_Prob narrowly best.
MoSHPlay_Prob now heads the Leaderboard ahead of MoSHBODS_Prob, with MoSSBODS_Prob still in 3rd.
WAGERING
Only the Head-to-Head Fund returned a profit this week, and that was only thanks to the final game of the round. Its +1% return was nowhere near enough to offset the 6.8% loss by the Line Fund and the 1.3% loss by the Overs/Unders Fund, and so there was a net loss on the round.
Overall, the Combined Portfolio finished down by just over 4c, erasing last week’s profit and leaving the Portfolio up by just under 14c on the season, that from a 25% ROI on a 0.56 turn.
