2024 - Round 26 Results - Two More Coin Tosses
/It was another round with a fifty percent record for home teams as 2nd defeated 7th to maintain its perfect record over them in semi-finals, and 5th defeated 4th to move their record nearer parity.
Overall, teams from 1st to 4th now have a 74% record against teams from 5th to 8th in semi-finals.
With some contrarianism amongst the Head-to-Head Tipsters in the Giants v Lions game, five Tipsters scored 1 from 2 and four others 0 from 2, cutting MoSHPlay_Marg’s lead to two over RSMP_Simple, and three over RSMP_Weighted.
The all-Tipster average for the round came in at 0.6 from 2, taking the season-long figure to 130.5 from 213 (61%).
With narrow margins predicted and narrow margins produced, margin prediction seemed far easier this week, with mean absolute errors (MAEs) ranging from RSMP_Weighted’s 6.7 points per game to MoSHPlay_Marg’s 15.7 points per game, with the all-Predictor average coming in at 9.3 points per game, which is about 28 points per game lower than last week. The season-long all-predictor average is now 27.1 points per game per predictor.
There were, again, no movements on the Margin Predictor Leaderboard.
The gap between 1st and 7th is now 79 points, but only 31 points separate 1st and 5th. RSMP_Simple’s lead is just over 20 points.
Log probability scores were all negative this week, but best for MoSSBODS_Prob and worst for MoSHPlay_Prob. The Leaderboard ordering remains unchanged.
WAGERING
Brisbane Lions’ remarkable victory allowed Investors to enjoy a rare weekend of profit despite their being only a single collect from four wagers.
Overall, the Combined Portfolio rose by just over 1c, which leaves it down now by a smidge under 29c on the season, that from a -8.1% ROT on a 3.6 turn.
