2022 - Round 19 Results - Ridiculously Precise
/Seven early-week favourites won this week, and an eighth drew, and the extremely low levels of contrarian head-to-head tipping meant that virtually nothing happened on the Head-to-Head Tipster Leaderboard save for Home Sweet Home falling another two tips adrift of the pack.
MoSHBODS_Marg remains one tip clear at the top of the Leaderboard, now on 120.5 from 162 (74%), ahead of MoSSBODS_Marg on 119.5 (74%), and Bookie Knows Best and the RSMP twins, still seven tips behind, on 113.5 (70%). MoSHPlay_Marg is a further tip back on 112.5 (69%).
The all-Tipster average came in at 7.3 from 9, lifting the all-Tipster all-season average to 69%.
The Margin Predictors were all ludicrously accurate this week, with the low mean absolute error (MAE) of 7.6 points per game being registered by MoSHBODS_Marg, and the high MAE of just 12.1 points per game being registered by Bookie_9. MoSSBODS_Marg came in at 8.3 points per game, which was enough to allow it to snatch top spot on the Leaderboard by just under 9 points from MoSHPlay_Marg.
Further down the Leaderboard, Bookie_Hcap and Bookie_3 leap-frogged Bookie_9.
The all-Predictor average came in at just 9.8 points per game, which dropped the all-season all-Predictor average to just under 25 points per game.
With so many favourites prevailing, log probability scores were all comfortably positive this week, and virtually identical for the trio of MoS models who finished just ahead of the three bookmaker-based models.
As similar as they were, those results saw MoSSBODS_Prob take top spot, MoSHPlay_Prob grab second, and MoSHBODS_Prob slide into third..
WAGERING
The streak of profitable rounds continued for Investors this week, though it was the smallest profit of the six-week sequence so far.
The overall round profit for the Combined Portfolio was just 0.2c, which moved it to a season-long profit of 43.6c, that from a +45% ROT on a 0.97 turn.
