2022 - Round 12 : Overs/Unders

/

The MoS twins are this week forecasting slightly higher scores than the bookmakers, with their average coming in at around 163 to 165 points per game.

There is virtually no agreement this week in the choice of highests and lowests:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS: Hawthorn v Colllingwood

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Western Bulldogs v Geelong

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS: Fremantle v Brisbane Lions

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Adelaide v West Coast

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS: Adelaide

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Gold Coast

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSHBODS: North Melbourne

  • MoSSBODS, TAB and Sportsbet: West Coast

WAGERS

Just one wager this week, an unders, after two others that would have been overs bets were declined based on the weather forecast.

The estimated overlay for the wager is 11 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 11 saw honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) spread across the four forecasters. MoSSBODS had the low MAE for Game Margins, MoSHBODS for Home Team Scores, Sportsbet for Away Team Scores, and the TAB for Game Totals.

That left MoSSBODS still with the season-long best MAE for Game Margins, MoSHBODS best for Home Team Scores and Game Totals, and the TAB still with the season-long best MAE for Away Team Scores.

MoSSBODS went 1 and 0 on its overs wager with the TAB, and 2 and 0 on its unders wagers with Sportsbet, moving it to a 17 and 7 record for the season with the TAB, and a 5 and 2 record with Sportbet.

Across all games, MoSSBODS recorded a 5 from 9 result against the TAB, moving it to 56 from 99 (57%) for the season, and a 6 from 9 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 56 from 99 (57%) for the season.

MoSHBODS also recorded a 5 from 9 result against the TAB, moving it to 59 from 90 (60%) for the season against them, and a 6 from 9 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 55 from 99 (56%) for the season against them.