2021 - Team Ratings After Round 25
/The Dogs slipped into 2nd place behind the Dees on both Systems this week, and find themselves trailing by 2.7 Scoring Shots on MoSSBODS, and by 7.9 Points on MoSHBODS.
Geelong rose by a single spot on both Systems into 4th, and the Lions fell by two spots on MoSSBODS, and three spots on MoSHBODS. That means both Systems now agree about the Top 4 teams, and that these are the four teams contesting the Preliminary Finals.
In fact, the two Systems now agree about the top 11, and the bottom three teams.
The correlation between MoSSBODS’ and MoSHBODS’ Combined Ratings now stands at +0.9955.
On the Component Ratings, on Offence MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS now have Top 3s of Lions, Dees, and Dogs, while on Defence MoSSBODS has a Top 3 of Dees, Cats, and Dogs and MoSHBODS has Dees, Cats, and Power.
The correlation between the teams’ MoSSBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.75, which is up a little on last week’s number.
In the animation below, we can see the path that each team has taken to arrive at its current Rating.
The two charts below look solely at the four Preliminary Finalists, and place their individual and combined Ratings into an historical context.
In this first chart we see that, in historical terms, only Melbourne have Ratings that have been more usually associated with Grand Finalists.
In this second chart we see that, collectively, the four teams are relatively week offensively, and about mid-pack defensively.
Lastly, to MARS, where we find that, despite their season-endng loss, Brisbane Lions remain in top spot on the Leaderboard.
Port Adelaide remain in 2nd and now trail the Lions by only 1 Rating Point, while Geelong hopped over Melbourne and into 3rd by 0,2 Rating Points this week.
The only sizeable movement on the Leaderboard was GWS dropping down two spots into 10th.
MARS continues to provide the most outlying rankings of the three Systems, it having the outright most extreme ranking for 10 teams now. By comparison, MoSSBODS has the outright most extreme ranking for only four teams, and MoSHBODS for only two.
MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS agree about the ranking of 12 teams, MoSSBODS and MARS about the ranking of five teams, and MoSHBODS and MARS about the ranking of eight teams.
Lastly, if we consider the range of rankings that the three Systems have attached to each team, we find that West Coast and Brisbane Lions have the widest range of rankings (four spots), while 13 teams have rankings that differ by no more than two spots, including Adelaide, Essendon, Gold Coast, North Melbourne, and Sydney, about whom all three Systems agree on a ranking.
