2021 - Round 26 : Overs/Unders

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This week the MoS forecasters have lower expectations for scoring than the bookmakers in both games, in the Friday game by just over a goal, and in the Saturday game by just under a goal.

Looking at the higher/lower and highests/lowests, we have.

HIGHER SCORING GAME

  • All: Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs

LOWER SCORING GAME

  • All: Melbourne v Geelong

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Port Adelaide

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Geelong

WAGERS

Investors have just one unders wager this week (of course they do).

The estimated overlay for the wager is just over the minimally permissible 6 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 25 had Sportsbet recording the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Margins and Away Team Scores, the TAB recording the lowest MAE for Game Totals, and Sportsbet and the TAB jointly recording the lowest MAE for Home Team Scores.

That left MoSSBODS still with the best season-long performance on Away Team Scores (leading MoSHBODS by about 15 points), Sportsbet with the best season-long performances on Game Margins (leading the TAB by 6 points) and Game Totals (leading the TAB by 2 points), and the TAB with the best season-long performance on Home Team Scores (leading Sportsbet by 9.5 points).

MoSSBODS lost its only unders wager last week, which was with the TAB. That left it with a 31 and 37 record with the TAB, and a 7 and 8 record with Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS both finished on the wrong side of both Totals against Sportsbet, and MoSSBODS managed to land on the right side of just one Total against Sportsbet.

That left MoSSBODS at 104 from 204 (51%) against the TAB, and 102 from 204 (50%) against Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS at 102 from 204 (50%) against the TAB, and 103 from 204 (51%) against Sportsbet.