2021 - Round 24 Results - Mostly to Script

It was three out of fours all round this week, which left MoSSBODS_Marg three tips clear at the top of the Leaderboard and now on 135.5 from 202 (67%), ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg on 132.5 from 202 (66%) and MoSHPlay_Marg on 130.5 from 202 (65%).

Amongst the Margin Predictors, honours went to MoSHPlay_Marg for the second week in a row, this time with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 25.7 points per game, which was enough to see them retain 6th on the Leaderboard and move to within four goals of the outright lead.

Bookie_9 did enough to reclaim top spot on the Leaderboard, ahead of the RSMP twins.

The all-Predictor MAE was 28.1 points per game, which left the season-long all-Predictor average at 26.6 points per game.

Log probability scores were again all positive for all the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors this week, most of all for MoSHPlay_Prob. The other MoS Predictors recorded the second- and third-best scores, which meant that MoSHBODS_Prob retained 1st place on the Leaderboard ahead of MoSHPlay_Prob and MoSSBODS_Prob.

WAGERS

A fifth successive profit has all but assured Investors of another profitable season. This week’s collects both came in the Port Adelaide v Geelong game, and resulted in an increase in the price of the Combined Portfolio by 0.8c.

That portfolio now shows a season-long profit of 14c, that coming from a +11.2% ROT on a 1.25 turn.