2021 - Round 23 : Overs/Unders

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This week the MoS forecasters are again tipping totals to be, on average, over a goal less than are the bookmakers - and we saw how well that went last week.

Looking at the highests and lowests, we have.

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • All: Brisbane Lions v West Coast (equal with Carlton v GWS for the TAB)

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS: Richmond v Hawthorn

  • MoSHBODS and both bookmakers: Geelong v Melbourne

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Brisbane Lions

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoS twins: West Coast

  • Bookmakers: Gold Coast

WAGERS

Investors have five unders wagers this week, coincidentally exactly the same number as they lost last week.

The estimated overlays for the six games with wagers range from just over 7 points to just over 16 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 22 had MoSSBODS recording the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Away Team Scores, the TAB doing the same for Home Team Scores and Game Totals, and Sportsbet taking the honours for Game Margins.

That left MoSSBODS still with the best season-long performance on Away Team Scores, Sportsbet with the best season-long performances on Game Margins and Game Totals, and the TAB with the best season-long performance on Home Team Scores.

MoSSBODS won only one of its six unders wagers last week, all with the TAB. That left it with a 29 and 32 record with the TAB, and a 7 and 8 record with Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS finished on the right side of the Totals in 3 games against both the TAB and Sportsbet, leaving MoSSBODS at 100 from 189 (53%) against the TAB, and 96 from 189 (51%) against Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS at 98 from 189 (52%) against the TAB, and 98 from 189 (52%) against Sportsbet.