2020 - Round 12 : Overs/Unders
/Just seven of the nine games have Totals markets at this point, and these are shown below.
There are again some sizeable differences between the MoS twins’ and the bookmakers’ forecasts, most notably in the Roos v Lions game where the gap is almost 5 goals. But, rain is forecast for that game, so we might attribute some of the difference to that.
WAGERS
On account of the forecast rain at both Carrara on Friday, and the Gabba on Saturday, Investors have passed on what would otherwise be their only two wagers so far.
In Round 11 it was MoSSBODS’ turn to excel, it recording the best Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Home Team Scores, Away Team Scores, and Game Totals, leaving Easybet to record best MAE for Game Margins.
That left MoSSBODS with the season-long lead for Game Margins, Home Team Scores, and Away Team Scores, and MoSHBODS with the season-long lead on Game Totals.
In the game where we had our lone wager, MoSSBODS went 1 and 0 against the TAB, leaving it with a season-long 64% success rate against them. It remains with a season-long 55% success rate against Easybet.
After solid 6 and 7 from 8 performances in the round, across all games, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS are now 51 from 95 (54%) against the TAB. MoSSBODS is also 53 from 95 (56%) against Easybet, while MoSHBODS is 52 from 95 (55%)..
