2017 - Team Ratings After Round 23

/

MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS have identical Top 3s of Adelaide, Sydney then Richmond after the weekend's results, though they differ about the ordering, if not the composition of positions 4th to 6th.

As well, MoSSBODS has one team in its Top 8, the Western Bulldogs, that won't be playing Finals and has West Coast ranked 11th, while MoSHBODS has St Kilda in 7th and West Coast also in 11th. Both Systems have their Top 11 teams rated as better-than-average.

The big movers for the week were, on MoSSBODS, Port Adelaide climbing 3 spots onto 6th and, on MoSHBODS, Port Adelaide also, rising 3 spots to 4th, along with GWS falling 3 spots into 6th, and Melbourne slipping 2 spots into 13th.

No team is now ranked more than 2 places differently under the two Systems.

On Offensive Ratings, only the Brisbane Lions moved multiple spots on both Systems this week. It fell 2 places on MoSSBODS into 14th, and 2 places on MoSHBODS into 15th.

Defensively, Port Adelaide climbed 2 spots and into the Top 5 on both Systems, while West Coast climbed 3 spots on MoSSBODS and 4 spots on MoSHBODS to claim 7th place under both Systems.

In terms of Ratings compression, we now have:

  • For MoSSBODS on Offence the gap between 2nd and 10th is 1.9 Scoring Shots
  • For MoSHBODS on Offence the gap between 2nd and 8th is 5.5 points
  • For MoSSBODS on Defence the gap between 2nd and 13th is 3.5 Scoring Shots
  • For MoSHBODS on Defence the gap between 5th and 12th is 6.9 points

On offence, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS both have the Top 3 ordering as Adelaide, Sydney, and then Essendon while defensively, both still have the Top 3 ordering as Sydney, Richmond and then Adelaide.

The latest round-by-round MoSSBODS Rating journey animation appears below and shows the relatively small movements of all teams in Round 23. None moved, in Combined Rating terms, by more than 0.8 Rating Points, and in terms of either component rating by more than 0.9 Rating Points.

This week a slight change in the filtering used for the next chart which here plots every team in history as at the end of their respective home and away season, no matter its length.

We see very clearly in this diagram how Adelaide and Sydney are positioned in the top quartile of teams that ultimately made Grand Finals while the remainder of the 2017 Finalists are positioned in the bottom 50%.

ChiPS AND MARS

ChiPS re-ranked 12 and MARS only eight teams this week, though no team moved multiple places on both Systems.

That left ChiPS with a Top 3 of Sydney, Adelaide, and Richmond, compared to MARS' Adelaide, Sydney and Geelong.

Across the four Systems, the only teams appearing in the Top 5 for all of them are now Adelaide and Sydney. Geelong are denied this status only by ChiPS' ranking of 6th, Richmond only by MARS' ranking of 6th, GWS only by MoSHBODS' ranking of 6th, and Port Adelaide only by MoSSBODS' ranking of 6th.

Sydney continues to stand out on the basis that it is ranked multiple places higher by all four Systems compared to its competition ladder ranking of 6th.

The largest disparities in the rankings across the four Systems are now for:

  • Essendon (ranked 8th on MoSSBODS, MoSHBODS and ChiPS, and 13th on MARS)
  • Melbourne (ranked 8th on MARS, and 13th on MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS)
  • St Kilda (ranked 7th on MoSHBODS, and 13th on ChiPS)
  • Collingwood (ranked 7th on ChiPS and 12th on MARS)

No other team is ranked more than four places differently across the Systems.