2017 - Round 6 Results - MoSSBODS' Turn
/Only five of the round's favourites prevailed this weekend, but the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters still managed to average 5.9 correct tips, bolstered most of all by MoSSBODS_Marg's haul of 7 from 9.
That baker's half-dozen moved MoSSBODS_Marg into joint leadership with ENS_Linear, the pair now on 37 from 54 (69%) for the season, and one tip clear of Consult The Ladder and the two RSMP Tipsters. That means that teams higher on the ladder when entering a round have won more often than favourites.
With four upsets and generally large final margins, it was a tough week for the Margin Predictors, none recording a better mean absolute error (MAE) than MoSSBODS_Marg's 33 points per game. That moved it 25 points ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg, whose 36.3 MAE was the round's second-best score. It really has been a heartening season so far for these two bookmaker-ignoring forecasters.
The round's worst MAE of 42.2 points per game belonged again to C_Marg, which now languishes over 200 points off the lead. The all-Predictor average for the round was 39.5 points per game.
Four Predictors now have season-long profitable line betting records: the two MoS siblings, Bookie_3 and Bookie_LPSO.
MoSSBODS' Head-to-Head Probability Predictor also performed extremely well this week, returning comfortably the round's best probability score as well as its second-best score for a single round this season. That result was sufficient to move it to the top of the Leaderboard for the first time this season.
MoSHBODS_Prob recorded the second-best probability score of the round, but remains 5th on the ladder. It's now close enough to the three Bookie-based Predictors that one or two similarly strong performance could see it move ahead of them in coming weeks.
C_Prob's probability score was essentially zero, though for once this was good enough for it to outscore the Bookie-based Predictors, all three of which registered negative probability scores.
WAGERS
I said before the round that ...
“It’s the twin wagers on Carlton though that will almost entirely determine how fondly or otherwise the upcoming weekend will be remembered ...”
Carlton's 19-point win over the Swans made then for a very lucrative weekend, especially when paired with another nine collects.
So, a 7c gain on the weekend, which leaves the Overall Portfolio up by almost exactly that amount after six rounds.
The only disappointment was the 3 and 4 performance of the Overs/Unders Fund, though it can take some solace from the fact that of the four games in which it wagered where the total was within one goal of the market threshold, it won only one of them.
