MatterOfStats 2024 : Team Dashboard for Round 14
The latest Rankings on Dashboard Metrics graphic appears below, and reveals that team rankings on the following metrics are most highly correlated with ladder position (which, once again is determined firstly by percentage of possible competition points accumulated, and then by percentage):
Percent of Quarters Won (+0.83)
Own Goals per Game (+0.76)
Own Scoring Shots per Game (+0.75)
Own Points per Game (+0.75)
Q3 Performances (+0.73)
Least highly correlated are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.14)
Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.29)
Opponent Points per Game (+0.32)
Opponent Goals per Game (+0.36)
Q2 Performances (+0.37)
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game (+0.42)
Q4 Performances (+0.42)
Despite the relatively large number of low correlations, it’s interesting to note that Sydney is in the Top 2 for all but two metrics, and that North Melbourne is in the Bottom 2 for all but four metrics.
A review of this table and the detailed Team Dashboard below reveals:
Carlton are 14th on Opponent Goals and Points production
Essendon still has only the 12th-highest percentage and are 11th on Own and 10th on Opponent Scoring Shots per Game
Port Adelaide are 17th on Own Scoring Shot Conversion and 16th on Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion
Western Bulldogs are 3rd on Own Scoring Shot generation and 7th on Opponent Scoring Shot generation
Brisbane Lions are 5th on Own Scoring Shot generation and 2nd on Opponent Scoring Shot generation
The larger Team Dashboard also reveals that:
Adelaide’s opponents have converted at only 47%, and Sydney’s at 46%
Geelong and Essendon have won only 38% of Q2s
Essendon have generated fewer scoring shots than their opponents have in Q1s and Q2s, and have a sub-100 percentage for Q2s.
Hawthorn have outscored their opponents in Q2s, but been outscored by their opponents in every other quarter
Gold Coast have outscored their opponents 2:1 in Q2s.
Richmond, North Melbourne, and West Coast have been outscored by their opponents in every quarter
The only teams to have outscored their opponents in every quarter are Port Adelaide and Western Bulldogs. They as well as Collingwood and Sydney are the only teams to have registered more scoring shots than their opponents in all four quarters.
Brisbane Lions have scored 57% of their points in 1st halfs and conceded 57% in 2nd halfs. They’ve converted at only 40% in Q3s
Melbourne have scored 60% of their points in 2nd halfs
Sydney’s opponents have converted at only 34% in Q2s whilst they’ve converted at 62%
Geelong have converted at 67% in Q1s, and North Melbourne at 67% in Q2s
Adelaide’s opponents have converted at only 42% in Q4s, and St Kilda’s opponents at just 41%