MatterOfStats 2024 : Team Dashboard for Round 11
/The latest Rankings on Dashboard Metrics graphic appears below, and reveals that team rankings on the following metrics are most highly correlated with ladder position:
Q3 Performances (+0.88)
Percent of Quarters Won (+0.85)
Own Points per Game (+0.75)
Own Goals per Game (+0.74)
Expected Wins from MoS Win Production Function (+0.72)
Own Scoring Shots per Game (+0.7)
Least highly correlated are:
Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.22)
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.27)
Q2 Performances (+0.4)
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game (+0.43)
Opponent Goals per Game (+0.49)
A review of this table and the detailed Team Dashboard below provides more insight:
Essendon now has only the 13th-highest percentage
Port Adelaide are 15th on Own Scoring Shot Conversion and 13th on Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion
Collingwood are 12th on Own Scoring Shot Conversion and 15th on Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion
Western Bulldogs are 3rd on Own Scoring Shot generation and 3rd on Opponent Scoring Shot generation
Brisbane Lions are 5th on Own Scoring Shot generation and 1st on Opponent Scoring Shot generation
The larger Team Dashboard also reveals that:
Adelaide’s and Sydney’s opponents have converted at only 44%
Sydney have won 31 quarters this season, which is 4 more than any other team
North Melbourne have won only 6 quarters this season (and drawn none)
Geelong and Essendon have won only 45% of Q2s, and Carlton only 36%.
Essendon have generated fewer scoring shots than their opponents have in Q1s and Q2s, and has a sub-100 percentage for Q2s.
Hawthorn have outscored their opponents in Q2s, but been outscored by their opponents in every other quarter
Richmond, North Melbourne, and West Coast have been outscored by their opponents in every quarter
The only teams to have outscored their opponents in every quarter are Adelaide, Port Adelaide, Sydney and Western Bulldogs.
Brisbane Lions have scored 57% of their points in 1st halfs and conceded 58% in 2nd halfs. They’ve converted at only 36% in Q3s
Melbourne have scored 60% of their points in 2nd halfs
Sydney’s opponents have converted at only 33% in Q2s
Carlton’s opponents have converted at over 65% in 1st halfs