Overall, the MoS twins are expecting lower totals this weekend than are the bookmakers, and by quite some margin in a number of games.

In terms of this week’s highests and lowests, there is agreement about everything except the Lowest Scoring Team:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

• All: Geelong v North Melbourne

LOWEST SCORING GAME

• All: Gold Coast v Hawthorn

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

• All: Geelong

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

• MoSSBODS: Hawthorn

• MoSHBODS: Brisbane Lions

• Bookmakers: North Melbourne

WAGERS

Investors have four wagers this week, all of them unders.

The estimated overlays for the games where we’ve wagers range from 5 to 11 points, and the wager sizes from 1.8% to 5.4% accordingly.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) were shared between the MoS twins in Round 4:

• Game Margins: MoSSBODS

• Home Team Scores: MoSSBODS

• Away Team Scores: MoSHBODS

• Game Totals: MoSSBODS

The only season-long title switching hands this week was the Game Totals title moving from Sportsbet to MoSSBODS. The leads across all four metrics are now as follows:

Game Margins: Sportsbet 3 points ahead of the TAB and 10 points ahead of MoSHBODS

Home Team Scores: MoSHBODS 3 points ahead of MoSSBODS and 27 points ahead of the TAB

Away Team Scores: MoSHBODS 4 points ahead of MoSSBODS and 21 points ahead of the TAB

Game Totals: MoSSBODS 13 points ahead of Sportsbet and 15 points ahead of the TAB

MoSSBODS had five wagers last week, four unders with the TAB that finished 3 and 1, and one overs with the TAB that was a loser.

It ended then at 8 and 6 with the TAB, and at 1 and 1 with Sportsbet, for an overall 9 and 7 record.

Across all games, MoSSBODS landed 4 from 9 against the TAB and against Sportsbet. That took MoSSBODS to 18 from 38 (47%) against the TAB and 20 from 38 (53%) against Sportsbet. MoSHBODS landed 5 from 9 against the TAB and 4 from 9 against Sportsbet, which took it to 17 from 38 (45%) against the TAB and 16 from 38 (42%) against Sportsbet.