2024 - Round 26 : Overs/Unders
/The MoS twins have lower Totals forecasts than the bookmakers in the Giants v Lions clash, while MoSSBODS is higher and MoSHBODS lower than the bookmakers the Power v Hawks game.
WAGERS
MoSSBODS has wagers in both contests this week, an overs at Adelaide Oval, and an unders at Sydney Showground.
The estimated overlays for the games where we have wagers are about 4 and 5 points, and the bet sizes just 1.4% and 1.5% of the original Over/Under Fund.
PREVIOUS RESULTS
Honours for the lowest Mean Absolute Errors (MAEs) were shared this week, with the TAB taking Game Margins and sharing Home Team Scores and Away Team Scores with Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS taking Game Totals.
No titles switched hands this week as the TAB held onto all four yet again. The leaders and leads across all four metrics are now as follows:
Game Margins: TAB 14 points ahead of Sportsbet and 126 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Home Team Scores: TAB 19 points ahead of MoSHBODS and 21 points ahead of Sportsbet
Away Team Scores: TAB 10 points ahead of Sportsbet and 28 points ahead of MoSHBODS
Game Totals: TAB 10 points ahead of Sportsbet, and 89 points ahead of MoSHBODS
MoSSBODS had wagers on two games last week, both of them overs and with the TAB, resulting in one win and one loss.
It ended then at 32 and 41 with the TAB, and at 21 and 13 with Sportsbet, for an overall 53 and 54 record.
Across all games, MoSSBODS landed 3 from 4 against the TAB and Sportsbet, which took it to 114 from 211 (54%) against TAB, and 116 from 211 (55%) against Sportsbet. MoSHBODS landed 3 from 4 against the TAB and against Sportsbet, which took it to 106 from 211 (50%) against both for the season.
Here’s the updated week-by-week forecasting performance of the twins, and the wagering performance of MoSSBODS.
