2022 - Round 8 Results - A Welcome Return
/It was mostly sixes for the Head-to-Head Tipsters this week, with only MoSSBODS_Marg and Home Sweet Home managing more, and Consult The Ladder managing less.
The all-Tipster average was 6.1 from 9, and the Leaderboard now sees MoSSBODS_Marg in outright first, now on 51 from 72 (71%) and one tip ahead of MoSHBODS_Marg.
Amongst the Margin Predictors, the best mean absolute error (MAE) belonged to Bookie_3 at 26.2 points per game, ahead of Bookie_LPSO (26.4) and then MoSSBODS_Marg (26.6) and MoSHPlay_Marg (26.9).
MoSHPlay_Marg still heads the Leaderboard, with MoSSBODS_Marg in 2nd, and MoSHBODS_Marg in 3rd. Those three Predictors have been on the right side of the bookmaker handicap in between 57% and 63% of games, which is well above chance.
Log probability scores were all positive yet again this week, and virtually identical for all of the forecasters except MoSSBODS_Prob, who was by far the best. That was sufficient to move it into 2nd place, but left MoSHBODS_Prob still in first, and nudged MoSHPlay_Prob into 3rd.
WAGERING
It was a return to profitability for Investors this week, with 4 of the 7 line bets and all four of the unders bets being collects.
The overall round profit for the Combined Portfolio was 1.4c, which moved it to a season-long profit of just over 25c, that from a +49% ROT on a 0.52 turn.
