2022 - Round 8 : Overs/Unders

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The MoS twins are forecasting generally lower scores than the bookmakers this week, with their average coming in about 3 to 5 points lower overall.

There is, once again quite a bit of difference in the choice of highests and lowests this week:

HIGHEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS, MoSHBODS: Richmond v Collingwood

  • TAB and Sportsbet: Brisbane Lions v West Coast

LOWEST SCORING GAME

  • MoSSBODS, MoSHBODS: Fremantle v North Melbourne

  • TAB, Sportsbet: Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Brisbane Lions

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • MoSSBODS, MoSHBODS: North Melbourne

  • TAB, Sportsbet: West Coast

WAGERS

Four wagers this week, all of them unders.

The estimated overlays range from about 7 to 11 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 7 was another reasonably good one for MoSHBODS in terms of the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) results, and saw it record the lowest MAE for Away Team Scores and Game Totals. The TAB was best for Game Margins and Home Team Scores.

That left MoSSBODS still with the season-long best MAE for Game Margins, MoSHBODS best for Home Team Scores, the TAB still with the season-long best MAE for Away Team Scores, and now best, alone, for Game Totals.

MoSSBODS went 0 and 1 on its under wager with the TAB, moving it to a 10 and 6 record for the season, and also 0 and 1 on its under wager with Sportsbet, moving it to a 1 and 2 record

Across all games, MoSSBODS did a little better, and recorded a 5 from 9 result against the TAB, moving it to 30 from 63 (48%) for the season, and also a 5 from 9 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 29 from 63 (46%) for the season.

MoSHBODS recorded a 6 from 9 result against the TAB, moving it to 34 from 63 (54%) for the season against them, and a 6 from 9 result against Sportsbet, moving it to 28 from 63 (44%) for the season against them.