2021 - Team Ratings After Round 12
/Only three teams changed order on MoSSBODS this week - West Coast up 2 into 12th, St Kilda up 1 into 14th, and Collingwood down 3 into 15th - while none at all moved on MoSHBODS.
That left the two Systems still with identical Top 8s and with the Dogs heading the Dees at the top, albeit now by reduced margins. The Dogs are now rated by MoSSBODS as about a 2 Scoring Shot better team than the Dees on a neutral venue, and by MoSHBODS as about a 6 point better team.
The correlation between MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS Combined Ratings now stands at +0.9980, and the Rating gap between 1st and 8th stands at 8.2 Scoring Shots on MoSSBODS (up 0.6 Scoring Shots), and 28.8 Points on MoSHBODS (up 2.4 points). Only seven teams are rated as above average.
On the Component Ratings, on Offence MoSSBODS still has a Top 3 of Dogs, Lions, and Dees, while MoSHBODS has Dogs, Lions, and Dees. On Defence MoSSBODS’ and MoSHBODS’ Top 3s are now Dees, Dogs, and Cats.
On MoSSBODS, 5 teams are now rated positively on offence and defence (no change), 7 are rated negatively on both (no change), 2 are rated positively on offence but negatively on defence (no change), and 4 are rated negatively on offence but positively on defence (no change). The correlation between the teams’ MoSSBODS offensive and defensive Ratings now stands at +0.692, which is down a fraction on last week’s number.
In the animation below, we can see the path that each team has taken to arrive at its current Rating.
And, finally, as always, to MARS, which re-ranked eight teams this week, swapping four pairs including the elevation of Geelong into 1st over Brisbane Lions.
No teams moved by more than a single spot.
MARS still has only eight teams rated as better-than-average, but now has five more Rated 990 or above.
The Rating gap between first and last now stands at just over 65 Rating Points and that between 1st and 8th at 23.5 Rating Points. 1st and 5th, however, are separated by only just over 6 Rating Points, and 9th and 15th by only just over 10 Rating Points.
The biggest gaps in the Ratings are between 7th and 8th (9.1 Rating Points), and between 17th and 18th (13.4 Rating Points)
Looking across the rankings of all three Systems and ordering the teams based on the current competition ladder, we find the highest differences for Carlton where Rating System rankings are relatively higher than Ladder position, and for Sydney and West Coast where Rating System rankings are relatively lower than Ladder position.
MARS continues to provide the most outlying rankings of the three Systems, it having the outright most-extreme ranking now for all but four of the teams.
By comparison, MoSSBODS has the outright most-extreme ranking for five teams, and MoSHBODS has it for only one.
MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS still agree about the ranking of 12 teams, MoSSBODS and MARS about the ranking of three teams, and MoSHBODS and MARS about the ranking of four teams.
Lastly, if we consider the range of rankings that the three Systems have attached to each team, we find that Fremantle and West Coast have the widest range of rankings (five spots), while 11 teams have rankings that differ by no more than two spots, including Adelaide, Hawthorn, and North Melbourne, for which all three Systems have the same ranking.
