2021 - Round 25 : Overs/Unders

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This week the MoS forecasters have lower expectations for scoring in the Friday game than the bookmakers, and higher expectations for the Saturday game.

Looking at the higher/lower and highests/lowests, we have.

HIGHER SCORING GAME

  • All: Brisbane Lions v Western Bulldogs

LOWER SCORING GAME

  • All: Geelong v GWS

HIGHEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: Brisbane Lions

LOWEST SCORING TEAM

  • All: GWS

WAGERS

Investors have just one unders wager this week

The estimated overlay for the wager is just over the minimally permissible 6 points.

PREVIOUS RESULTS

Round 24 had MoSHBODS recording the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Margins, Home Team Scores, and Away Team Scores, and the TAB and Sportsbet jointly recording the lowest MAE for Game Totals.

That left MoSSBODS still with the best season-long performance on Away Team Scores, Sportsbet with the best season-long performances on Game Margins and Game Totals, and the TAB with the best season-long performance on Home Team Scores.

MoSSBODS won its only unders wager last week, which was with the TAB. That left it with a 31 and 36 record with the TAB, and a 7 and 8 record with Sportsbet.

Overall, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS both finished on the right side of the Totals in only 1 of the 4 games against both the TAB and Sportsbet, leaving MoSSBODS at 104 from 202 (52%) against the TAB, and 101 from 202 (50%) against Sportsbet, and MoSHBODS at 102 from 202 (51%) against the TAB, and 103 from 202 (51%) against Sportsbet.