2021 - Round 1 Results - A Reasonable Beginning

All of the Head-to-Head Tipsters, bar Home Sweet Home, correctly selected five or six winners this week, which saw the all-Tipster average come in at 5.3.

View fullsize

Amongst the Margin Predictors, MoSSBODS_Marg was best with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 17.9 points per game, though seven other Predictors trail by less than 10 points. Bookie_3 was worst with a MAE of 19.8 points per game, which is hardly disgraceful.

Across the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, only MoSSBODS_Prob and Bookie_OE returned positive log probability scores, with MoSHPlay_Prob worst amongst the remainder.

WAGERS

For Investors, Round 1 was, essentially, a breakeven proposition, with the gains of the Head-to-Head Fund thanks to Adelaide wiped out by Line Fund and Overs/Unders Fund losses.

View fullsize

The season is still very young …