2020 - Round 11 Results - At Least The Draw Removes The Decimals
/In the end, it was a pretty easy round to tip winners, and with relatively few contrarian tips, that meant (with the draw) we finished with Head-to-Head Tipsters recording either 5.5 or 6.5 from 8.
As a result, the all-Tipster average was 6.2 from 8, and MoSHPlay_Marg still heads the Leaderboard by 2 clear tips.
Margin Predictor mean absolute errors (MAEs) were all in the 18 to 22 points per game range, with Bookie_3 recording the round low of about 18.2 points per game.
Bookie_9’s 20.2 points per game, however, was enough for it to retain top spot on the Leaderboard, though the gap from it to MoSHPlay_Marg in 8th is only just over 3 goals.
All of the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors again returned exceedingly positive log probability scores this week, but within an atypically small range. MoSHPlay_Prob did just a little better, however, and now heads the Leaderboard, with MoSSBODS_Prob in 2nd, and MoSHBODS_Prob in 3rd.
WAGERS
Round 11 saw a “welcome return to profitability”, with a rare example of all three Funds contributing positively - the first since Round 3.
Overall, the Combined Portfolio’s price increased by just over 1c, leaving it with a price of $1.099, this result coming now from a 15.5% ROT on a 0.636 turn of the Portfolio Funds.
