2018 - Team Ratings After Round 6

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A little less shuffling of the teams on the MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS ladders this week, but some large movements nonetheless.

Sydney and Port Adelaide were the big climbers, the Swans rising five spots on MoSSBODS and four on MoSHBODS, while the Power also jumped five on MoSSBODS and three on MoSHBODS. Geelong and North Melbourne were the snakes to the Swans' and Powers' ladders, the Cats slipping four spots on MoSSBODS and two on MoSHBODS, while the Roos dropped four spots on both Systems.

As a result, both Systems now have a Top 3 of, in order, Richmond, GWS, and then Sydney, and no team is now ranked more than two places differently by the two Systems.

Ratings also remain compressed on both Systems, with only about four Scoring Shots (or roughly 15 points) separating Sydney in 3rd from Fremantle in 12th, and less than 13 points separating Sydney in 3rd from North Melbourne in 12th on MoSHBODS.

At the component, offensive and defensive, level there are still significant numbers of team re-rankings this week, MoSSBODS re-ranking 11 teams on offence and 12 on defence, and MoSHBODS re-ranking 13 on offence and 12 on defence.

On offence now, MoSSBODS has the ordering at the top as Richmond, GWS and then Adelaide, while MoSHBODS has it as Richmond, Adelaide, and then West Coast.

On defence, both agree on a Top 3 of Richmond, GWS, and then Sydney, with Collingwood dropping down to 4th this week on both Systems.

Looking across all 18 teams we find that Adelaide is the only team now ranked more than two places differently by the two Systems on offence or defence. The Crows are 11th on defence on MoSSBODS, and 7th on MoSHBODS.

Next, our weekly look at how the 2018 teams' MoSSBODS Ratings compare with those of previous Grand Finalists and other teams at the same point in the season (ie after Round 6). 

From the chart we can see how Richmond has now separated itself from the pack, in terms of both defensive and offensive rating. 

We can also see how low-scoring games continue to generally depress team offensive ratings. On offence, only the top 8 teams have positive ratings while on defence the top 12 do.

Lastly, let's take a look at ChiPS and MARS, where we see some major moves on ChiPS but just three position swaps on MARS. The big movers on ChiPS were Port Adelaide up 6 spots into 4th, and Sydney up 5 spots into 3rd, as well as Geelong down 4 spots into 7th, North Melbourne down 4 spots into 11th, and West Coast down 3 spots into 8th.

That left the two Systems differing by more than two places in their rankings of only three teams:

  • Port Adelaide (ranked 4th on ChiPS and 7th on MARS)
  • Collingwood (ranked 5th on ChiPS and 9th on MARS)
  • Adelaide (ranked 9th on ChiPS and 2nd on MARS)

And, finally, broadening our comparison to look across the team rankings of all four Systems, comparing them with the current competition ladder, we find that:

  • West Coast's, Hawthorn's, Gold Coast's, North Melbourne's, Sydney's and Collingwood's ladder positions are most different from their average Rating System ranking. The first four teams on that list are lower, and the last two higher on the ladder than their ratings would lead us to expect.
  • Adelaide (2nd to 9th) is ranked seven places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • Collingwood (4th to 9th) is ranked five places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • Hawthorn (6th to 10th) is ranked four places differently across the Rating Systems.
  • No other team is ranked more than three places differently across the Rating Systems.

Maybe this week we'll begin to see greater stability in all of the Rating Systems' team orderings.