2017 - Round 10 Results - Gotta Be Happy With That

/

In a season that's been as delightfully unpredictable as this one, I think you have to nod and sagely accept a round where your best Head-to-Head Tipster (Consult The Ladder) bags 8 from 9 and your average Tipster manages 7.

In fact, all but Consult The Ladder and Home Sweet Home scored 7 from 9 this week, which left the MoS Leaderboard with the two RSMP tipsters and MoSSBODS_Marg on top with 57 from 89 (64%).

(You might notice a few small changes in the head-to-head and margin results for RSMP_Simple and RSMP_Weighted this week, because I discovered they'd both been using the Gold Coast MARS Ratings for GWS in recent weeks and have adjusted their performances accordingly. I don't think that adjustment has been entirely kind to either of them.)

Now, if you were mildly pleased by a 7 from 9 average performance in head-to-head tipping, I think you'd be compelled to be delighted about an all-Predictor average mean absolute error (MAE) of 19.7 points per Predictor per game, which is what the MoS Margin Predictors recorded this week.

Possibly most gratifying of all for those of us with an affinity for the underdog, C_Marg returned the best MAE of all at just 14.1 points per game.

It is, though, still resolutely last.

At the top of the Leaderboard we still have MoSHBODS_Marg, MoSSBODS_Marg, and the two RSMP Predictors. 

The other ChiPS family member, C_Prob, also shined amongst the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, its probability score the best of the round, but not all that much better than the three bookmaker-based Predictors and MoSHBODS_Prob, all of which returned virtually identical scores.

That left MoSHBODS_Prob at the head of the Leaderboard and, yes, C_Prob at the base.

WAGERS

Round 10 proved to be yet another mildly accumulative round, this time bumping the Overall Portfolio up by just 1.2c, the fifth increase in a row, all of them by single digit amounts.

Both the Head-to-Head and Line Funds made profits for the week, the Over/Under Fund the only loser, falling by 2.5c on the back of a 2 from 5 performance. 

Regardless, all three Funds are still in profit for the season, and the Overall Portfolio stands priced at about $1.18.