MatterOfStats in 2014

Last year at around this same time I said 

Compared to most previous seasons, the number of changes to MAFL Funds and algorithms this year has been very small.

For 2014 I've treated last year as a worthy precedent and made only a handful of changes, none of them significant.

• Last year, the Recommended Portfolio comprised 60% Line Fund, 30% Head-to-Head Fund an 10% Margin Fund. This year the same three Funds will operate - and will employ the same wagering strategies as last year, including the imposition of wager caps that vary across the season - but the weightings will change to the following
  • Line Fund 50%
  • Head-to-Head Fund 30%
  • Margin Fund 20%

I'd love to be able to present an empirical case for these weightings but, alas, none exists. If pressed I'd simply relay my sense that, last year, a Fund carrying only 10% of the total portfolio seemed to be something of an irrelevance, regardless of how active it was.

• This year I wanted to do something in memory of MatterOfStats' (then MAFL's) inaugural mascot, who guilted me out of half a banana and half an apple for the last time late last year, so I've created ChiPS from which spring C-Marg and C-Prob, respectively a new Margin and a new Probability Predictor.

That's it. Everything else will be this year as it was last year including, I hope, our wagering success.