MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 13

The latest table of Rankings on Dashboard Metrics appears below. Note that the ladder ordering is, again, determined by competition points earned per game played, which sees a slightly differently ordering to the standard competition ladder.

Of all the metrics on the Dashboard, it remains the case that the Expected Wins according to the MoS Win Production Function provides a ranking closest to that of the ladder as we determine it.

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MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 12

The latest table of Rankings on Dashboard Metrics appears below. Note that the ladder ordering is determined on the basis of competition points earned per game played, which sees the Roos and Saints differently ordered in comparison to the standard competition ladder.

It continues to be the case that Geelong is the only team with consistently high rankings on all metrics, while other teams in the Top 8 on the ladder find themselves ranked as low as 15th on some metrics. We also have teams in the bottom seven places on the ladder ranked as high as 3rd on some metrics.

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MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 11

The latest table of Rankings on Dashboard Metrics appears below and, broadly speaking, suggests that the teams’ ladder positions are more highly correlated with :

  • scoring points (+0.75 correlation) than with conceding them (+0.74)

  • a team’s converting its own Scoring Shots (+0.64) than with the rate at which its opponents have converted their Scoring Shots (+0.25)

  • the Goals a team scores (+0.90) than with the Goals it concedes (+0.73)

  • the Points a team scores (+0.88) than with the Points it concedes (+0.78)

  • Q4 performances (+0.75) than with Q3 (+0.57), Q1 (+0.54), or Q2 (+0.38) performances

  • a team’s Expected Wins according to the MoS Win Production Function than with any other of the metrics on the Dashboard

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MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 10

The latest table of Rankings on Dashboard Metrics appears below and we can still see a number of teams whose rankings on particular metrics are quite different from their ladder positions, including:

  • Collingwood, GWS and Richmond on Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion

  • Collingwood and West Coast on Q2s and Q3s, Richmond on Q4s, Adelaide on Q1s and Q4s, and Gold Coast on Q1s

  • Brisbane Lions on Opponent Scoring Shots, Goals and Points, and on Own Scoring Shot conversion

  • Sydney on Own and Opponent Scoring Shot conversion

  • North Melbourne and Western Bulldogs on Own Goals and Points scored

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MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 9

Of all the Dashboard Metrics we track, those currently most correlated with team success (based on the rank correlation between team ordering on the metric and team ordering on the competition ladder) are:

  • the MoS Win Production Function (correlation +0.93)

  • Goals Scored per game (+0.90)

  • Points Scored per game (+0.87)

  • Percent of Quarters Won (+0.79)

  • Scoring Shots per Game (+0.78)

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MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 5

Although the ladder now has two teams on 4 wins, nine on 3 wins, three on 2 wins, and one on a single win, the ordering provided by percentage sees the competition in much better agreement with MoS’ Expected Wins column this week. The only team ranked more than 4 places differently on Expected Wins compared to ladder position is Gold Coast, who are 11th on the ladder but 16th on Expected Wins.

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