MatterOfStats 2023 : Team Dashboard for Round 10

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The latest Ranking on Dashboard metrics data appears below, and shows that the strongest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • The MoS Win Production Function (+0.95)

  • Percentage of Quarters Won (+0.93)

  • Scoring Shots Conceded (+0.9)

  • Opponent Scoring: Points (+0.8)

  • Scoring Shots Generated (+0.8)

  • Own Scoring: Goals (+0.77)

  • Q4 Performances (+0.76)

  • Opponent Scoring: Goals (+0.75)

The weakest rank correlations with ladder position are associated with:

  • Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.15)

  • Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.49)

Next, we have the full Team Dashboard below, which shows that:

  • Collingwood have scored about 10 points per game fewer than Brisbane Lions and conceded only 8 points per game fewer.

  • Collingwood have doubled their opponents’ scores in Q4s

  • West Coast have scored less than half what their opponents have scored in Q2s and in Q4s

  • Geelong have scored only 18% of their points in Q4s

  • Hawthorn have scored only 17% of their points in Q3s. Their percentage for that quarter is 46.

  • The bottom three teams have, between them, won only one game in the last seven rounds (and two in the last eight, both wins down to Hawthorn)

  • There are five teams with a winning streak of three games or longer, and four of them sit in the Top 8.

  • There are four teams with a losing streak of three games or longer, and three of them occupy one of the Bottom 4 positions.