MatterOfStats 2019 : Team Dashboard for Round 17

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The latest table of Rankings on Dashboard Metrics appears below.

Based on rank correlation the metrics most highly correlated with the current competition ladder ordering are the orderings based on:

Those metrics least correlated are:

  • Q2 performances (+0.34)

  • Opponents’ Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.43)

  • Q3 performances (+0.57)

  • Q4 performances (+0.61)

  • Q1 performances (+0.65)

The relatively low correlations between ladder positions and performances in individual quarters I think reflects the fact that no team - Geelong aside - has been able to dominate in every quarter. All of the teams in positions 2 through 8 on the competition ladder are ranked 9th or lower for at least one quarter, most of them for two quarters.

The full Team Dashboard appears below, a few of the interesting features of which are:

  • Richmond’s 10 and 6 record paired with a 105 percentage

  • The fact that the Top 14 teams now have percentages of about 95 or higher

  • The fact that the teams currently in the Top 8 are only 24 and 16 since Round 12

  • The fact that five teams outside the Top 8 are only 1 or 2 wins outside it, and two more teams only 3 wins outside it

  • The fact that Carlton, in 17th, have recorded less than a goal a game fewer than Essendon, in 8th

  • The fact that Brisbane Lions, in 3rd, have conceded as many goals as Sydney, in 14th