MatterOfStats 2017 : Team Dashboard for Round 20
/We've not looked at the rank correlations between the teams' competition ladder positions and their ordering on the various Team Dashboard metrics since Round 12, so let's review them now.
We have:
- Ladder Position vs Own Scoring Shot Production: +0.78
- Ladder Position vs Opponent Scoring Shot Production: +0.79
- Ladder Position vs Own Scoring Shot Conversion: -0.05
- Ladder Position vs Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion: +0.49
- Ladder Position vs Quarter 1 Performances: +0.48
- Ladder Position vs Quarter 2 Performances: +0.42
- Ladder Position vs Quarter 3 Performances: +0.64
- Ladder Position vs Quarter 4 Performances: +0.85
It remains the case then that there is virtually no correlation between the teams' ordering on Own Conversion and their ladder position.
The teams whose orderings differ most from their ladder position are:
- Brisbane Lions: 18th on the ladder and 4th on Own Conversion
- Richmond: 3rd on the ladder and 16th on Own Conversion
- Western Bulldogs: 7th on the ladder and 18th on Own Conversion
- Gold Coast: 15th on the ladder and 6th on Own Conversion
- GWS: 2nd on the ladder and 11th on Own Conversion
- Melbourne: 10th on the ladder and 1st on Own Conversion
What we also find is that a team's ranking on Own Conversion tends to be negatively correlated with its ranking on Opponent Conversion, especially for:
- Adelaide: 3rd on Own Conversion and 12th on Opponent Conversion
- Carlton: 10th on Own Conversion and 17th on Opponent Conversion
- Essendon: 7th on Own Conversion and 1st on Opponent Conversion
- Fremantle: 14th on Own Conversion and 7th on Opponent Conversion
- Gold Coast: 6th on Own Conversion and 14th on Opponent Conversion
- Hawthorn: 8th on Own Conversion and 15th on Opponent Conversion
- Kangaroos: 9th on Own Conversion and 16th on Opponent Conversion
- Melbourne: 1st on Own Conversion and 8th on Opponent Conversion
- Port Adelaide: 12th on Own Conversion and 4th on Opponent Conversion
- Richmond: 16th on Own Conversion and 5th on Opponent Conversion
- Sydney: 13th on Own Conversion and 6th on Opponent Conversion
- Western Bulldogs: 18th on Own Conversion and 10th on Opponent Conversion
It's as if teams whose offences are good at generating higher quality chances tend to have defences that allow higher quality chances, and vice versa for teams with offences that tend to generate lower quality chances.