What's Easier - Predicting the Home or the Away Team Score?

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Consider the following scenario. You're offered a bet in which you can choose to predict the final score of the Home or of the Away team and your adversary is then required to predict the final score of the other team.
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The 2011 Performance of the MARS, Colley and Massey Ratings Systems

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I was curious - and that's rarely a portent of lazy evenings - as to which of the three ratings systems we've been tracking since Round 14 is best, so I set about finding out.
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Predicting the Home Team's Final Margin: A Competition Amongst Predictive Algorithms

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With fewer than half-a-dozen home-and-away rounds to be played, it's time I was posting to the Simulations blog, but this year I wanted to see if I could find a better algorithm than OLS for predicting the margins of victory for each of the remaining games.
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