Upsets and Mismatches in VFL/AFL History: A MoSSBODS 2.0 Perspective

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A few years ago, I used the MARS Rating System to identify those games from VFL/AFL history that might be considered as the greatest upsets in that the loser's MARS Rating was very much higher than the winner's.

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Winning and Losing Streaks and Their Effects on Team Scoring

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The idea for this blog came in an e-mail from long-time Friend of MoS, Michael, who wondered if the absence of lengthy winning streaks by teams like Hawthorn in 2015 reflected some feature of the game of Australian Rules or of the AFL competition that rendered such streaks self-limiting in length.

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On the Relative Importance of Offensive and Defensive Ability in VFL/AFL History

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In the previous post here I introduced MoSSBODS 2.0, a Team Rating System design to provide separate Offensive and Defensive Ratings for teams in the VFL/AFL. Today I want to explore the relationship between teams' Ratings and their on-field success.

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An Improved VFL/AFL Team Rating System: MoSSBODS 2.0

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Earlier this year in this blog, I introduced the MoSSBODS Team Rating System, an ELO-style system that provides separate estimates of each team's offensive and defensive abilities, as well as a combined estimate formed from their sum. That blog post describes the main motivations for a MoSSBODS-like approach, which I'll not repeat here.

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Best and Worst AFL Teams 2005 - 2015: A MoSSBOD Perspective

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In the last blog on this part of the site I introduced the MoSSBOD Team Rating System, the defining characteristics of which were that it Rated teams based on Scoring Shot Production and Concession and that it provided both a Defensive and an Offensive Rating for all teams.

Today I want to explore the history of those Ratings across the last decade to see what MoSSBOD has to say about the strongest and weakest Offensive and Defensive teams across that period.

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