AFLW 2024 - Round 11 (Week 1 of the Finals)
/If WoSHBODS is accurate, we are in for quite the round of Finals in Week 1.
It has three of the four contests being decided by less than a goal, the exception being the Friday night contest between North Melbourne and Adelaide, which WoSHBODS expects to be relatively comfortably won by the Roos.
Based on its own probability estimates, it should expect to tip 2.5 winners this week, and the likelihood of it tipping all 4 is about 15%.
WoSHBODS Wagering
WoSHBODS has head-to-head wagers in three of the four games, two on underdogs at $2.62, and one on a $1.34 fqvourite. Together, the bets represent only just over 2% of the original Head-to-Head Fund.
There are also line wagers, all for about 1% of the original Line Fund and on the same three teams and at $1.87 or $1.88.
A best case set of results will see the Combined Portfolio price rise by just over 2c, while a worst case set of results will see it fall by 2.5c.
