2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 22
/2012 Round 22 Results : One Hand on the Ledge
/2012 Round 22 - Wagers & Tips : A Draw for the Wagers
/2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 21
/2012 Round 21 Results : Our Two Cents Worth
/2012 Round 21 - Wagers & Tips : Heliocentric Wagering
/2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 20
/2012 Round 20 Results : Near Enough Isn't Good Enough
/2012 AFL Futures Markets After Round 19
/I've just reviewed the current TAB AFL Futures markets in light of the recent simulations I performed of the remainder of the season, and the only value bets at the moment (assuming you agree with the MARS Ratings I've used in the simulations) are:
- Geelong to Make the Final 8 : offers an estimated 6% edge at $1.10
- Geelong to Make the Top 4 : offers an estimated 14% edge at $8
- St Kilda to Miss the Top 8 : offers an estimated 11% edge at $1.40
- GWS to Win the Spoon : offers an estimated 4% edge at $1.40
2012 Round 20 - Wagers & Tips : SuperMargin Sweepstakes
/2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 19
/2012 Round 19 Results : Something Ventured, Nothing Gained
/2012 Round 19 - Wagers & Tips : There's Always Hope On A Sunday
/2012 MARS, Colley, Massey and ODM Ratings After Round 18
/2012 Round 18 Results : Small Loss, Small Comfort
/2012 Round 18 - Wagers & Tips : Gnarly Profiles
/2012 Round 18 - Wagers & Tips : No Line's Formed for the Giants v Pies Game
/GWS play host to the Pies this weekend at the most traditional of football grounds, the Sydney Showground, and this matchup has, predictably, caused the TAB Bookmaker to pause. I imagine he's deciding whether or not to post a line market with a high two-figure handicap or, instead, with a three-figure handicap for the first time in who knows how long.
Right now he's still pausing, so we're still waiting.
We've already locked in two head-to-head, six line and four SuperMargin wagers spanning all but the Port v Freo game, so we're guaranteed a busy weekend whatever he comes up with, but we'll have one more wager on GWS should the line market be posted with the 100-or-so points start I'm expecting.
Until tomorrow then ...