Matter of Stats

View Original

AFLW Round 2 Results - We All Have Regression

It was fairly easy to predict winners in Round 2, but much harder to predict Margins and Totals, which is why WoSHBODS picked 8 of the 9 winners, but ended the round with a 19.9 Margin MAE and a 19.3 Total MAE.

It also fared poorly on wagering, landing only 1 from 2 line bets and 0 from 5 head-to-head bets, which left the Combined Portfolio down by 0.2c on the season, that from a -4% ROI on a 5% turn.