Now that the teams have been named, MoSHPlay thinks slightly less of Adelaide’s chances than does MoSHBODS and has installed Geelong as 8 point favourites.

THURSDAY NIGHT UPDATE

With the teams as currently named, MoSHPlay has varied from MoSHBODS by less than about a goal in every game except the Collingwood v West Coast matchup, where a sizeable difference in MoSHPlay’s estimates of average player values for the two squads has lifted its forecast by over 18 points. It has the Pies winning by 30 points, which seems about equally as bold a forecast as MoSHBODS’ is timid.

FRIDAY 6PM UPDATE

The latest round of team announcements has seen MoSHPlay reduce the forecasted victory margin for the Dogs to 32, and increase that for the Dockers to 15.

SATURDAY 12:30 PM UPDATE

MoSHPlay likes the late change for the Blues and has reduced the Swans’ expected winning margin by 2 points to 18.

SUNDAY 2PM UPDATE

The late Roughead withdrawal has caused MoSHPlay to wind back its forecast Hawks victory margin to 15.