MoSHPlay continues to rate the Pies’ lineup highly, so much so this week, relative to the Lions’ that it’s added 11 to MoSHBODS’ opinion and tipped the Pies by 16.

THURSDAY UPDATE

With the teams as currently named, the largest differences between MoSHPlay and MoSHBODS are:

• Collingwood expected margin over Brisbane Lions increases by 11 points to 16

• Melbourne expected margin over St Kilda increases by 12 points to 21

• Richmond expected margin over Sydney decreases by 13 points to 8

• Adelaide expected margin over Gold Coast increases by 13 points to 48

FRIDAY 3:30PM UPDATE

The late changes in the Roos v Dons clash has seen MoSHPlay swing completely behind North Melbourne who it now has as winning by 3 points.

FRIDAY 8:45PM UPDATE

Missed the late West Coast changes (which would, for the record, have moved MoSHPlay to Eagles by 17.5), but there’ve been a few other changes too to the Dogs, Crows and Suns, which are reflected below

SATURDAY 12:45PM UPDATE

Largely inconsequential change in MoSHPlay’s forecast for GWS v Fremantle. But, you know, since I’ve run it, might as well post it.

SUNDAY 11AM UPDATE

Changes for tomorrow’s Hawthorn v Geelong game have moved MoSHPlay’s forecast margin from a 6- to a 13-point win for the Cats (there’s also a 3-point correction for the Dogs v Blues game as MoSHPlay realises that Lachlan Young is Lachie Young on Supercoach, the realisation of which drags the Dogs’ average player rating down).

SUNDAY 12:15PM UPDATE

Casboult for Curnow a small plus for the Dogs (this update bought to you from the passenger-side of a vehicle en-route to the parents-in-law’s for lunch - this is my life now …)

MONDAY 2:30PM UPDATE

I could give you a new table showing how MosHPlay reacted to the Mirra for Stratton change but you would, quite literally, not see the difference. If changed the forecast by less than one-tenth of a point.