MoSHPlay’s first look at the round has it largely agreeing with MoSHBODS and differing in its forecast margin by around a goal or more in only four games:

• Geelong v North Melbourne: MoSHPlay Cats by 25; MoSHBODS Cats by 15

• Port Adelaide v Sydney: MoSHPlay Power by 20; MoSHBODS Power by 14

• West Coast v Adelaide: MoSHPlay Eagles by 11; MoSHBODS Eagles by 17

• Melbourne v Collingwood: MoSHPlay Pies by 18; MoSHBODS Pies by 12

In no game is MoSHPlay tipping a different winner to MoSHBODS.

UPDATE 10AM SATURDAY

A small changes to MoSHPlay’s forecast for the St Kilda v Fremantle game after the final team announcements.

UPDATE SATURDAY 1:15PM

Wines for Butters has MoSHPlay moving to Port by 24 points.

UPDATE 6:30PM SATURDAY

Very small change to MoSHPlay’s forecast for the Cats v Roos game (lost in the rounding, here).

UPDATE 2:15PM SUNDAY

MoSHPlay’s final forecast is Tigers by 23 points.