This week’s biggest differences between MoSHPlay and MoSHBODS are, for now, the following:

• Difference 14 points: Tigers v Dons (MoSHPlay Dons by 5; MoSHBODS Tigers by 9)

• Difference 12 points: Suns v Cats (MoSHPlay Cats by 40; MoSHBODS Cats by 28)

• Difference 10 points: Dogs v Roos (MoSHPlay Dogs by 17; MoSHBODS Dogs by 7)

• Difference 8 points: Swans v Pies (MoSHPlay Pies by 27; MoSHBODS Pies by 19)

• Difference 8 points: Hawks v Power (MoSHPlay Hawks by 0.1; MoSHBODS Power by 8)

• Difference 7 points: Dees v Giants (MoSHPlay Giants by 22; MoSHBODS Giants by 15)

• Difference 7 points: Saints v Blues (MoSHPlay Saints by 15; MoSHBODS Saints by 22)

Note that MoSHPlay and MoSHBODS are tipping the same winner in every game except Hawthorn v Port Adelaide (though late changes may alter this).

FRIDAY 6:30PM UPDATE

No MoSHPlay adjustments for tonight’s game, but some in the other contests based on announced team changes.

SATURDAY 12:45PM UPDATE

MoSHPlay now has the expected margin as Port Adelaide by just under a point (but Hawthorn winning 52% of the time). It’s complicated …

SATURDAY 3:25PM UPDATE

Very small change in the forecast Crows v Eagles game - so small it gets lost in the rounding. Crows by 9.

SUNDAY 12:15PM UPDATE

MoSHPlay now at Giants by 26.