2022 - Round 2 : Overs/Unders
The MoS twins, again, are foreshadowing larger totals than are the bookmakers this week, with the bookmakers’ average over two goals under last week’s recorded 176 points per game, and the MoS twins two to five points higher.
There are. however, some larger differences in individual games, more on which later, but looking at the highests and lowests, we have:
HIGHEST SCORING GAME
MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Essendon v Brisbane Lions
TAB and Sportsbet: Western Bulldogs v Carlton
LOWEST SCORING GAME
MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Port Adelaide v Hawthorn
TAB and Sportsbet: Sydney v Geelong
HIGHEST SCORING TEAM
MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Melbourne
TAB and Sportsbet: Port Adelaide
LOWEST SCORING TEAM
MoSSBODS & MoSHBODS: Essendon
TAB: Western Bulldogs
Sportsbet: PortAdelaide
No team is expected to top 100 points by any of the forecasters.
WAGERS
Just two wagers again this week, both of them again overs, with a third rejected because of the forecast of rain for the SCG on Friday.
Estimated overlays range from about 0 to 16 points, with roughly 8.5 and 12 point overlays in the two games where Investors have wagers.
PREVIOUS RESULTS
Round 1 was a profitable one for Totals betting using MoSSBODS’ opinions, and saw MoSSBODS record the lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) for Game Totals, MoSHBODS do the same for Game Margins and Home Team Scores, and Sportsbet take the honours for Away Team Scores.
MoSSBODS won both of its overs wagers with the TAB.
Across all games, MoSSBODS and MoSHBODS are now 6 from 9 (67%) against the TAB and Sportsbet.