The MoS twins are slightly more optimistic about the likely scoring in the upcoming Preliminary Finals, but only by about a goal.

All four forecasters have Richmond as the round’s lowest-scoring team (though EasyBet adds Port Adelaide). MoSSBODS and the two bookmakers have the Lions as the round’s highest-scoring team, while MoSHBODS has it as their opponents, the Cats.

All four also have the Power v Tigers game as the lower-scoring of the Semi Finals.

WAGERS

So similar are MoSSBODS’ Totals forecasts again this week that Investors have no wagers in either game.

The estimated overlays in both games against both bookmakers are under 6 points, which is why there’s no consideration of a wager.

In Round 20, MoSSBODS had a relatively poor round, as both of the bookmakers, with identical forecasts, took Mean Absolute Error (MAE) honours for all four metrics.

So poor was MoSSBODS performance, in fact, that it surrendered the season-long MAE leads for Game Margins and Away Team Scores to the TAB. MoSHBODS still leads for Home Team Scores, and the TAB bookmaker also for Game Totals.

MoSSBODS had no wagers last weekend, leaving it with a season-long 70% record against the TAB, and a 57% record against Easybet.

Across all games, MoSSBODS is now 88 from 159 (55%) against the TAB, and 89 from 159 (56%) against Easybet, while MoSHBODS is 92 from 159 (58%) against the TAB, and 93 from 159 (59%) against Easybet.