Matter of Stats

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2020 - Round 15 Results - Not a Lot of Movement Again

MoSHPlay_Marg managed just 2 from 6 correct tips this week, which saw its lead on the Head-to-Head Tipsters’ Leaderboard winnowed to just one tip, a lead that it now holds over Bookie Knows Best and RSMP_Simple.

The all-Tipster average came in at 3.7 from 6, dragged down by the MoS trio.

The round’s best Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of just 14.5 points per game belonged to ENS_Linear, but Bookie_9’s almost equally good 14.7 ppg was enough to see it retain 1st place on the Leaderboard.

The MoS trio still hold the bottom three spots after recording MAEs in the 18.2 to 21.1 ppg range.

For the seventh round in succession, all of the bookie-based Head-to-Head Probability Predictors returned positive log probability scores, though only MoSSBODS_Prob did the same (and then only barely) amongst the MoS trio. That was enough to allow MoSSBODS_Prob to retain 1st, but saw Bookie_LPSO and Bookie_RE taken 2nd and 3rd places.

WAGERS

Carlton hung on just long enough to ensure that Investors turned a small profit this week, as the Line Fund’s 2 from 2 was good enough to overcome the Head-to-Head Fund’s profligacy on the Hawks.

The Combined Portfolio’s now has a price of $1.073, this result coming from a 9.4% ROT on a 0.774 turn of the Portfolio Funds.