2017 - Round 26 Results (Week 3 of the Finals) - Just As We Suspected
C_Marg's errant prediction of a Giants win was the only thing preventing a 2 from 2 performance from all the MoS Head-to-Head Tipsters this week. The all -Tipster average was, instead, 1.9 from 2.
MoSSBODS_Marg still heads these Tipsters by two tips and has already been declared the winner of that race.
Meanwhile, the Margin Predictor race is still open, with MoSHBODS_Marg increasing its lead over RSMP_Simple to about 16 points this week - a margin likely to be sufficient for victory barring a starkly different margin prediction from it in the Grand Final.
MoSSBODS_Marg recorded the round's best mean absolute error (MAE) amongst the Margin Predictors of 27.2 points per game. It remains in 4th spot on the ladder, though is now only 11 points adrift of RSMP_Weighted in 3rd. (It also has the equal-best season-long line betting record, having been on the right side of the spread almost 56% of the time.)
Amongst the Head-to-Head Probability Predictors, C_Prob recorded easily the best log probability score this week, ahead of Bookie_LPSO and then a near-tie amongst Bookie_RE, MoSHBODS_Prob, and Bookie_OE.
MoSHBODS_Prob remains atop the Leaderboard, with Bookie_LPSO and Bookie_OE still in 2nd and 3rd positions.
WAGERS
One bet for one winner this week, with the Crows' comfortable win adding 1.7% to the value of the Line Fund, and 0.7% to the value of the Combined Portfolio.
That left the Combined Portfolio up by 32% on the season, that from a 15.8% ROI on a 2.03 turn.