MatterOfStats 2024 : Team Dashboard for Round 5
The latest Rankings on Dashboard Metrics graphic appears below, and reveals that team rankings on the following metrics are most highly correlated with ladder position (noting that I order the ladder based on Competition Points per Game and then Percentage, which differs from what you’ll see on the AFL and other sites).
The MoS Win Production Function (+0.95)
Own Goals per Game (+0.90)
Own Points per Game (+0.90)
Own Scoring Shots per Game (+0.89)
Percent of Quarters Won (+0.89)
Q3 Performances (+0.73)
Opponent Scoring Shots per Game (+0.70)
Least highly correlated are:
Opponent Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.14)
Own Scoring Shot Conversion (+0.32)
Q4 performances (+0.49)
Overall, the Brisbane Lions’ and possibly St Kilda’s rankings look least congruent with their ladder position.
And, here is the larger Team Dashboard, which reveals that:
GWS has lost only three quarters this season, and drawn one
Port Adelaide has lost only four quarters this season, and drawn one
North Melbourne has won only three quarters this season
West Coast has won only three quarters this season, and drawn one
Brisbane Lions has scored 59% of their points in 1st halfs and conceded 62% in 2nd halfs
Gold Coast has conceded 61% in 2nd halfs
St Kilda has scored 59% in 2nd halfs
Gold Coast’s opponents have converted at almost 75% in Q1s
North Melbourne has converted at almost 80% in Q1s