Matter of Stats

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MatterOfStats 2014 : Team Dashboard for Round 23

With this, the final Team Dashboard for the year, I thought I'd compile one last summary comparing each team's final ladder position with its ranking on the major metrics on the MoS Team Dashboard:

  • Adelaide (10th)
    • 3rd on Scoring Shot production
    • 5th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 14th on Q1s, 2nd on Q2s, and 5th on Q3s
    • Won more than 50% of Q2s, Q3s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in Q2s and Q3s
    • Won 3.0 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Brisbane Lions (15th)
    • 9th on Scoring Shot conversion and 10th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • Won less 50% of Q1s, Q2s, Q3s and Q4s and were outscored by their opponents in all quarters
    • Won 2.7 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  •  Carlton (13th)
    • 4th on Scoring Shot conversion and 9th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 8th on Q2s
    • Won 50% of Q2s and outscored their opponents in Q4s
    • Won 1.2 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  •  Collingwood (11th)
    • 17th on Scoring Shot conversion and 8th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 7th on Q2s, 8th on Q3s, and 14th on Q4s
    • Won 50% of Q2s and outscored their opponents in Q2s and Q4s
    • Won 1.3 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  •  Essendon (7th)
    • 10th on Scoring Shot production and 4th on Opponent Scoring Shot production
    • 15th on Scoring Shot conversion  and 13th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 3rd on Q1s, 11th on Q2s, and 13th on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s and outscored their opponents in Q1s, Q3s and Q4s
    • Won 0.4 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Fremantle (4th)
    • 8th on Scoring Shot production
    • 8th on Q1s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s, Q2s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 0.4 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Geelong (3rd)
    • 9th on Opponent Scoring Shot production
    • 14th on Scoring Shot conversion and 4th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 15th on Q3s and 8th on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s, Q2s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in Q1s, Q2s and Q4s
    • Won 3.2 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Gold Coast (12th)
    • 9th on Scoring Shot production
    • 6th on Scoring Shot conversion
    • 14th on Q1s, 2nd on Q2s, and 5th on Q3s
    • Won less than 50% of all four Quarters and outscored their opponents in Q3s and Q4s
    • Won 0.4 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • GWS (16th)
    • 12th on Scoring Shot conversion
    • 14th on Q1s, 2nd on Q2s, and 5th on Q3s
    • Won less than 50% of all four Quarters and outscored by their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 0.6 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Hawthorn (2nd)
    • 6th on Opponent Scoring Shot production
    • 14th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 5th on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of all four Quarters and outscored their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 0.8 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Kangaroos (6th)
    • 13th on Scoring Shot conversion
    • 9th on Q1s, 18th on Q2s, and 1st on Q3s
    • Won more than 50% of Q3s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in Q3s and Q4s
    • Won 0.3 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Melbourne (17th)
    • 13th on Opponent Scoring Shot production
    • 3rd on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 7th on Q3s
    • Won 50% of Q3s and outscored by their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 0.6 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  •  Port Adelaide (5th)
    • 2nd on Scoring Shot production
    • 11th on Scoring Shot conversion and 12th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 1st on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s, Q3s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 2.2 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Richmond (8th)
    • 11th on Scoring Shot production
    • 5th on Scoring Shot conversion
    • 14th on Q3s and 3rd on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s and Q4s and outscored their opponents in Q1s, Q2s and Q4s
    • Won 0.3 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • St Kilda (18th)
    • 14th on Q2s and 12th on Q3s
    • Won less than 50% of all four Quarters and outscored by their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 1.4 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Sydney (1st)
    • 4th on Scoring Shot production
    • 7th on Scoring Shot conversion
    • 4th on Q2s, 4th on Q3s, and 6th on Q4s
    • Won more than 50% of all four Quarters and outscored their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 0.7 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • West Coast (9th)
    • 2nd on Opponent Scoring Shot production
    • 2nd on Scoring Shot conversion and 15th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 5th on Q1s
    • Won more than 50% of Q1s and outscored their opponents in all four Quarters
    • Won 3.0 games fewer than their scoring statistics would suggest
  • Western Bulldogs (14th)
    • 10th on Scoring Shot conversion and 18th on Opponent Scoring Shot conversion
    • 10th on Q1s, 17th on Q2s, and 9th on Q4s
    • Won 50% of Q4s and outscored their opponents in Q4s
    • Won 0.4 games more than their scoring statistics would suggest

As well, here are the rank correlations of team competition ladder positions with their ranking on the key metrics:

  • Own Scoring Shot production: +0.86
  • Opponent Scoring Shot production: +0.85
  • Own Scoring Shot conversion: +0.39
  • Opponent Scoring Shot conversion: +0.42
  • Q1 Performances: +0.89
  • Q2 Performances: +0.68
  • Q3 Performances: +0.57
  • Q4 Performances: +0.80

In summary then, competition ranking this season has been more about generating Scoring Shots and preventing opponents from doing the same, and less about the conversion rates of those Scoring Shots, whether your own or your opponent's. It's also been more about performing well in 1st and 4th Quarters than about performing well in 2nd and 3rd Quarters.